Mr.
Chairman, fellow panelists, participants, ladies and gentlemen:
Few
of you in this audience are new to the GMS. But all of you have
faith in its future, otherwise you would not be here. What then
can I advise you that you do not already know? What value added
can I leave with you? While asking myself these and similar questions,
the idea came to me as to how to prepare my presentation for today.
As
a lawyer, I have learned that before I can advise clients, I have
to ask a lot of questions, really a lot of questions; and do a
lot of listening, really a lot of listening. Since I am being
asked today as a private sector observer for my advice on enhancing
investment attractiveness in the GMS countries, then true to my
profession, I must first pose a cornucopia of questions. What
follows are examples of the many more questions prospective investors
often ask me and to most of which they expect me to have the answers.
Maybe the advice I have been asked to give today will fall out
from the many questions I am about to pose.
A
little scene setting is in order so that the relevancy of my queries
becomes clear.
I
continue to find it astounding. For decades, all developing countries
in this region have trumpeted that as a national priority, they
want businesses to invest in their countries. Yet, with isolated
exceptions, the officials and legislators of these countries do
precious little to put themselves in the place of the very investors
they wish to attract. Hence, they fail to adopt or implement those
policies that would entice either a wide variety or targeted categories
of businesses to come and stay.
Though
obvious and often repeated, a platitude concerning business investors,
whether domestic or foreign, is still not yet understood or accepted
by those charged with investor responsibility. A business investor
invests where he is welcomed, where his risks are predictable
and quantified, and where he can make and keep a fair return on
his investment. Anything less and he is not interested in investing
there.
That's
a very simple and straightforward proposition to which countries
pay lip service but then when they act, they thwart. So, countries
in the GMS need people like me. I make a living threading would-be
investors through the morass and minefields of legislative, bureaucratic
and judicial impediments and disincentives in order to provide
the countries what they say they want and need for national economic
and social development.
Being
a second generation American, of European extraction, to be domiciled
in Asia, my family having first settled in East Asia in 1945,
55 years ago, I have learned several lessons as to my own role
in this geography:
1.
The countries and peoples of the GMS are extremely diverse in
their culture, history, customs, moralities, religions, resources,
political systems, legal traditions, economies and economic objectives,
state of technological development, social goals, educational
levels, life rhythms and commitment to building a sustainable
society. This diversity exists not just between countries but
also within regions of each member country. Hence, any advice
must be specific and tailored, not general. No one fix fits all.
2.
Despite my long-term residence and dedication to Southeast Asia,
I am still a foreigner, educated and steeped in the ways of western
orientation though tempered with some of the wisdom of eastern
philosophies . Hence, some may deem my advice suspect as harboring
a hidden agenda or lacking in appreciation that my ways are not
the ways of Asia.
3.
For a variety of reasons, government officials, businesspersons,
academics, members of civil society and other people sometimes
don't like to hear my analysis and the advice that I give. When
I am right, the truth almost always helps, while its disclosure
may hurt. I am criticized for being blunt, forthright, critical,
insensitive and opinionated. When I am wrong, they don't listen
anyway. But in my 64 years on this planet, I have been proven
right far more often than I have been found to be wrong.
Enough
scene setting. Now to the questions.
To
preface, though it may sound as if I am lecturing, really I am
not trying to be pedantic or difficult. My purpose in asking the
probing questions which follow is to force interested persons
to identify what they really want; and consistent therewith, what
they can realistically expect to get; and finally, what the consequences
are of getting what they seek.
Let's
start off with some fundamental inquiries:
What
is the purpose of "investment"? Why have it? What constitutes
"Investment Attractiveness"?
First,
what is "investment"? Is it money - capital? loans?
financing? stock market/securities acquisitions/trading? insurance?
industrial hardscape? equipment? buildings? Does it depend on
whether it is long term, medium term or short term? From domestic
sources? From foreign sources? By governments? From private sources?
If other than money - do services, education, scholarship, training,
software, multilateral assistance, advice and consultation equate
to investment? If not money or services, is it the time of people
- voluntary or paid? What is investment?
"Attractiveness"
to whom and from whose point of view - to governments? To politicians?
bureaucrats? technocrats? military? police? From the top down?
From the bottom up? Attractiveness to the domestic private sector?
To the foreign private sector? To labor? NGOs? farmers? rural
communities? urban communities? To the regional neighbors? And
attractiveness compared to what or to whom ? Each of the countries
in the GMS has its own policies, emphasis and interpretations
towards what they consider attractive for them, so much so that
even the same words used can have different meanings from one
country to another. This is not unusual, for in the law we say
that reasonable men can differ.
What
are the measures of attractiveness? The measures are as varied
as the persons who judge attractiveness. What may be a desired
goal by one could be deemed an impediment by another. Beauty,
it is said, is in the eye of the beholder.
More
to the point, what does business look for before making a financial
or people commitment to a country in the GMS? A starting postulate
is that, like flowers which can bloom in the desert, business,
generically, can function in almost any environment provided certain
conditions exist. The ground rules for the conduct of business,
i.e. the rules of the game, whatever they may be, must be clear
and be consistently applied. They must be understood and observed
by all concerned with the conduct, regulation and control of business.
These ground rules can not be changed easily at someone's whim.
Changes in the rules of the game generate concern and consternation
among investors.
Stability
of government is required, though political systems or policies
may differ and change. Predictability, transparency, efficiency,
tolerance and honesty by those governing, firmness yet fairness
in treatment, strict but even-handed application and enforcement
of the rules for the benefit of society and not of interest groups
or personalities, are all characteristics which are scrutinized.
If
a business acts responsibly in the community, and not all do,
then will it be left alone to conduct itself to meet its stated
and approved objectives, make and keep its profits from its successes,
or suffer its losses for its failures? Is the administration of
justice in a country such that the sanctity of contracts is honored,
contracts are enforced in the courts and the rights of investors
and individuals are protected in a reasonably expeditious and
fair manner free from prejudice?
Will
a business, which does not act responsibly, be disciplined promptly,
appropriately yet fairly consistent with the measure of its wrongdoing?
Will business be able to rely on government to govern wisely and
to intervene only when absolutely necessary? Is a balance between
force and reason exercised? Will government, business and civil
society be able to work and live in harmony? Will each be able
to call upon the others for help, support and guidance when such
would benefit the community, however limited or extended that
might be?
These,
among others, are indices of attractiveness from the point of
view of business.
To
attract business investment, if that is a priority objective of
a country within the GMS, then are the desires, limitations, restrictions
and expectations of that country clearly defined, stated, underscored
and understood at all levels of government? Are they consistently
applied to both the domestic as well as foreign communities without
discrimination? Has that country set in place, or is it genuinely
in the process of doing so, the governing, and social, financial,
political, bureaucratic and legal frameworks to meet its objectives?
Are overlapping or conflicting jurisdictions of government agencies
identified and coordinated to minimize the friction of turf battles
and working at cross-purposes?
How
much hypocrisy and corruption can one expect to encounter? What
is being done to expose and punish the corrupt? Are economic or
ecological nationalism, xenophobia, criminal activities, social
tensions and injustices, labor unrest or racial intolerance, political
vacuums, complacency, self-indulgence, incompetence and ecological
irresponsibility present or prevalent?
How
much support is there for cultural preservation and openness and
tolerance to individual expression in the arts, music, theater,
the media and the press? What is the level of acceptance, absorption
and adaptation of new ideas, outside influences, change, new and
different procedures and methods? Are officials of government
as well as businesspersons held accountable for their infractions,
actions and inaction? What is the commitment to the Rule of Law?
To social responsibility?
Compare
political will to political posturing. To what extent are the
individual countries of the GMS willing to acknowledge and accept
that they have problems of one kind or another? How do they identify
and tackle those problems to find practical, realistic and cost
effective solutions or compromises within a reasonable timeframe?
Asian solutions perhaps? No one has a monopoly on good ideas,
and as I said in the beginning of this analysis, no one fix fits
all.
The
questions potential investors ask me can continue endlessly. For
instance, what are individual national policies, practices, atmospheres
and attitudes towards globalization, free and fair trade, decentralization,
privatization, entrepreneurship, social welfare, wealth creation,
income disparity, taxation? What encouragement exists for promotion
of tourism, public health, general healthcare and disease control,
population planning; information technology, e-commerce and the
New Economy? What is the inducement for and availability of access
to the flow of information, to compel formal education and support
the drive for knowledge acquisition and its application?
There
are more questions. What resources have been committed to fighting
against air, water, ground, waste and noise pollution, to reducing
energy demand, to protecting the environment, to reforestation,
to ocean, fresh water and natural resources conservation and management?
How committed is the country to industrialization, agricultural
and infrastructure enhancements? What is being done to curb organized
crime, money laundering, extortion, bribery and cronyism? Is the
correction of social, racial and religious intolerance being stressed
and monitored? What is the state of relations with neighbors,
and of personal, national and regional security? Are minds and
dialogues kept open and active between all participants of the
social experiment called modern civilization?
Businesses
exist to make and keep a profit. Is this principle acceptable
to the countries of the GMS? In that light, are the countries
of the GMS responsive to the needs of investors as seen through
the eyes of an investor? Do investors entertain only realistic
goals and expectations and have they done their homework about
the countries in which they are interested? Are those businesses
committed to being good corporate citizens? Is the GMS and its
peoples worth all the effort from the viewpoint of the investor?
Are the demands of business worth sacrifices and concessions from
the viewpoint of the countries of the GMS? Is this line of inquiry
leading to an unrealizable Utopia?
In
the parlance of today, what is the level of care and commitment
in the GMS by the public and private sectors to do what has to
be done for as long as it takes to achieve "attractiveness"
for investment or other legitimate objectives of society? Is there
genuine belief in the openness, transparency, accountability,
stability and good governance of both the public and private sectors?
Does the mindset exist to allow the enjoyment of the rewards of
work, involvement, investment, leisure, of preserving from the
past and creating for the future that which is good and comforting?
If
you find the recitation of all these questions overwhelming or
tedious, then you are not a believer in attracting investment.
Answer these questions honestly and you will begin to see the
value the subject of this session, "Enhancing Investment
Attractiveness in GMS Countries".
Unless
they dropped out from my list of questions, I don't have all the
answers. But I hope that by posing some probing questions, I might
have triggered some creative thoughts or sparked challenging insights
among those charged with discovering the answers or making plans
happen.
To
further assist those interested, I have attached to this paper
two checklists of selected general items which most businesses
doing due diligence will want or need to know about doing business
in any given country. One is prepared by Lex Mundi, the world's
largest association of independent law firms of which my law firm,
Tilleke & Gibbins, is the member for Thailand, Cambodia and
Vietnam. The second is the product of my law firm prepared to
respond to the dreaded investor question, "What should I
have asked you which I haven't asked you?" And worse yet,
" What should I have asked you before I invested?" Now,
if you still want my advice
Well,
maybe I've said enough for one afternoon.
Thank
you.
Attachments:
1. Lex
Mundi--Checklist International Business Transaction
2. Tilleke & Gibbins--Investors
Checklist - Thailand - Compendium
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*
"GMS" means
"Greater Mekong Subregion" of Southeast Asia which encompasses
those countries bordering on the Mekong River -Yunnan Province
of southern China, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam.